Former Vice President Joe Biden announced his 2020 presidential campaign in late April and now leads all Democratic candidates in the latest polling data and betting odds.
According to the most recent polling data gathered on a national scale and averaged by RealClearPolitics, a whopping 41.4% of likely Democratic voters say they support Biden over all other Democrats running for president in next year’s primary election.
This gives Biden a 26.8-point advantage over Bernie Sanders, who is the only other candidate who polls in the double digits with 14.6% of Democratic respondents saying they support him for the party’s nomination.
When looking at the betting odds to see who the bookmakers and the public believes will get the nod from Dems in 2020, Biden leads all candidates but by a much smaller margin.
Currently, Bovada lists Biden at +225 ($100 bet wins $225) which gives him a 30.77% chance to win the Democratic nomination when the odds are converted to an implied probability.
Sanders places second in the odds as well and is listed at +325, giving him a 23.53% chance be the party’s pick to be the next President of the United States — only 7.24% behind Biden.
Below you will find the polling data and betting odds — arguably two of the most reliable prediction methods available — for Biden, Sanders, and all of the 2020 Democratic candidates who’ve officially announced their White House bid.
2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination Polling Data
RealClearPolitics – May 13, 2019
The following polling data is based on the “RCP average” from April 25 through May 5 and includes numbers from the latest national polls conducted by The Hill/Harris X, Morning Consult, Harvard-Harris, CNN, and Quinnipiac.
- Joe Biden 41.4%
- Bernie Sanders 14.6%
- Elizabeth Warren 8.0%
- Kamala Harris 7.0%
- Pete Buttigieg 6.6%
- Beto O’Rourke 4.4%
- Cory Booker 2.6%
- Amy Klobuchar 1.4%
- Andrew Yang 0.8%
- Tulsi Gabbard 0.8%
- Julian Castro 0.8%
- Kirsten Gillibrand 0.6%
- Tim Ryan 0.6%
- Jay Inslee 0.6%
- John Delaney 0.6%
- John Hickenlooper 0.2%
*All other candidates received less than 0.1%
Odds to win the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination
Bovada – May 13, 2019
The betting odds below are based on the current “US Presidential Election 2020 – Democratic Candidate” betting line found in the “Politics” section at Bovada Sportsbook. Oddsmakers evaluate each candidates’ chances of winning the nomination and post a betting line that they believe will receive “equal action.” Odds can then fluctuate if more/less public money is placed on one candidate over another.
- Joe Biden +225
- Bernie Sanders +325
- Kamala Harris +500
- Pete Buttigieg +550
- Elizabeth Warren +1200
- Andrew Yang +1400
- Beto O’Rourke +1600
- Cory Booker +2500
- Tulsi Gabbard +2500
- Amy Klobuchar +3300
- Hillary Clinton +4000
- Kirsten Gillibrand +6600
- Julian Castro +8000
